Foreclosure Tide Turning?

Foreclosure filings were reported on 332,292 U.S. properties in October, a decrease of 3 percent from the previous month but still up nearly 19 percent from October 2008, according to the RealtyTrac U.S. Foreclosure Market Report released today. The report also shows one in every 385 U.S. housing units received a foreclosure filing in October.

“Three consecutive monthly declines is unprecedented for our report, and on first blush an indication that the foreclosure tide may be turning,” said James J. Saccacio, chief executive officer of RealtyTrac. “However, the fundamental forces driving foreclosure activity in this housing downturn — high-risk mortgages, negative equity, and unemployment — continue to loom over any nascent recovery. And despite all the efforts and resources directed at helping homeowners avoid foreclosure, we continue to see foreclosure activity levels that are substantially higher than a year ago in most states.”

 

View full report.

 

Posted: Wed, November 11 2009 8:55 PM by darenb

Comments

M Kamadulski said:

How is the inventory the banks are holding off the market accounted for?

M. Kamadulski

 

# November 13, 2009 7:39 AM

darenb said:

Here's a great article titled "The Case of the Missing REO Inventory" that addresses this question in depth.

www.realtytrac.com/.../newsletter-articles.asp

# November 13, 2009 6:31 PM

Art said:

It's not.

# November 18, 2009 11:34 AM

GJN said:

Why are the banks holding back the inventory from the market?

# November 20, 2009 1:32 PM

darenb said:

GJN: here's an excerpt from the article referenced in a comment above by Rick Sharga. I think this addresses some possible answers to your question.

Lenders and servicers admit that it’s taking longer to process REOs than it has in the past, and they offer a number of legitimate reasons:

  1. -Many of the properties have title issues that need to be resolved

  2. -Many of the properties are in states of utter disrepair

  3. -A number of states have strict redemption rights periods, which prevents the lender from reselling the property

  4. -A few states have extended the length of eviction proceedings

  5. -The sheer volume of REO activity has created a “pig in the python” phenomena, (to put this in perspective, there will be roughly four times the number of REOs this year as in the last “normal” year, 2005)

What else could be slowing things down? A popular theory is that many banks are holding the properties off the market in order to defer losses. There is some accounting logic to this theory, as in most cases banks aren’t required to adjust asset prices until the actual resale of the property. Another idea is that the industry is holding back the inventory to create leverage with the government in order to force the creation of a “toxic bank” or RTC-like entity that would buy the distressed assets at 50 to 60 cents on the dollar rather than the 30 to 35 cents available on the market today. This theory suggests that, seeing the threat of a massive inventory of distressed homes being released all at once, the government would “blink” rather than risk another housing market meltdown.

# November 20, 2009 2:05 PM

Gerald Gage said:

Like to be update with new information. Thanks

# November 22, 2009 8:25 PM

Jim and Alex Day said:

We bought 2 properties at the big DC foreclosure auction last week, and are still waiting for "bank approval".  One property has big mold issues that will only get worse as it sits vacant.  I sometimes wonder if these lending institutions didn't bring on a lot of these problems themselves - lending money on property sight-unseen.  

# December 13, 2009 6:18 PM
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