Community

Email Notifications

Divergent Metro Foreclosure Trends in Q3 2009

RealtyTrac released its Q3 2009 metro foreclosure rates Wednesday, and it showed some divergent trends, with five of the top 10 metro foreclosure rates posting year-over-year decreases while foreclosure activity surged in some metro areas that were more insulated from the foreclosure crisis a year ago.

“Rising unemployment and a new variety of mortgage resets continued to gradually shift the nation’s foreclosure epicenters in the third quarter away from the hot spots of the last two years and toward some metro areas that had avoided the brunt of the first foreclosure wave,” said James J. Saccacio, chief executive officer of RealtyTrac. “While toxic subprime mortgages drove much of that first wave of foreclosures, high unemployment and exotic Alt-A Option ARMs are spreading the foreclosure flood to more metro areas in 2009.”

The RealtyTrac report came on the heels of the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index report issued Tuesday. A comparison of home prices and foreclosure activity in the 20 areas covered in the Case-Shiller report indicates that while there is no consistent, direct correlation between change in home prices and change in foreclosure activity, in general the metro areas with the biggest year-over-year decreases in home prices also had the biggest year-over-year increases in foreclosure activity -- although there were exceptions.

 

Posted: Tue, October 27 2009 8:42 PM by darenb

Comments

MaryLou said:

Foreclosures in Southern Ca are still out of reach for most of us.  I want to buy a home in the 93063 area or Carpinteria.  I lived there for 38 years and miss it every minute.  But, too costly.  

# October 28, 2009 9:18 AM

Colin said:

How much of it is really unemployment and how much is the mortgage product?  I would guess the latter is contributing more to the problem.

# October 28, 2009 11:04 AM

darenb said:

I would agree that risky loan products are still the primary driver of foreclosures across the country, but I think we're starting to see unemployment start to drive foreclosures as well. That is simply based on the fact that we are seeing some new areas post big year-over-year increases in foreclosure activity that last year were largely insulated from the foreclosure problem.

# October 28, 2009 5:08 PM

Ron Curry said:

Any one in Boise have any experience recently?

# October 29, 2009 1:36 PM

darenb said:

I just talked to a reporter up in Boise who said they have had a booming real estate market there for a long time, and that there was a price bubble in the last few years that has now popped. He also pointed out that employment has quickly ballooned to nearly 10 percent there.

# October 29, 2009 2:40 PM

Carolyn R said:

Oh YEAH!! We've been house hunting in Boise since last Oct..Star, ID looks like "ground zero"!!  Boise is in bad bad shape..don't let the Realtors or reporters sell you any "fluff".  

We had two offers on short sales..both fell through..one due to mold and the other to "seasonal water problems".  Homes are rapidly coming down in price.  By the time you get to closing you've probably lost 20K.  

Get on RealtyTrac if you have to pay for it..key in the zip code or address you are looking for and you'll see..it looks like ants in an ant colony.  Two best things I ever invested in..RealtyTrac and a good home inspector.  Even though both deals fell through and we are out around 800 for the inspections..it was well worth it.  Many of the homes have not been winterized and therefore have leaks which lead to mold problems.  Our homes are not built on slabs and mold can be a real issue in the crawl spaces.  Caveat Emptor!!  Watch the SHORT SALES NEGOTIATORS!!  They do nothing..are not required to be licensed in our state..and want to be paid for calling the bank once per week!  The bank says this puts them behind trying to answer Realtor and Short Sale Negotiator calls and work their every increasing workload.  They are not staffed for this in many instances.  Someone said they have 500 per day and can only close on 15 a day.  Watch your short sales as some buyers will use you as a "place holder" in order to stay in the home.  Bank won't foreclose if they think they have a solid buyer.  Many times the buyer walks (tired of waiting)..Realtors don't notify banks that they have walked..when the bank discovers they have a new buyer, THE ENTIRE PROCESS STARTS OVER!

Bottom line:  You need a helmet and a seat belt to go shopping in Boise metro area!  

# November 3, 2009 7:33 AM

darenb said:

Carolyn,

Thanks for your insight. It is very interesting to hear about it from the front lines. Sounds like you're doing a great job of doing your research and not settling for anything less than a good home at a great price. Happy house hunting! Let us know how things turn out.

# November 3, 2009 9:17 AM

randy salmon, Jr. said:

This post is a great help. At <a href="www.coastalreosolutions.com">Coastal Reo Solutions</a> in Myrtle Beach, South Carolina our <a href="www.coastalreosolutions.com/blog">BLOG</a> has similar information that can help agents, investers, buyers and sellers of home and commercial real estate through the foreclosure and short sale process. Come by, give it read and leave us your opinion and comments please.

Thanks for the post.

# November 20, 2009 7:46 PM
Leave a Comment

(required) 

(required) 

(optional)

(required)