Divergent Metro Foreclosure Trends in Q3 2009
RealtyTrac released its Q3 2009 metro foreclosure rates Wednesday, and it showed some divergent trends, with five of the top 10 metro foreclosure rates posting year-over-year decreases while foreclosure activity surged in some metro areas that were more insulated from the foreclosure crisis a year ago.
“Rising unemployment and a new variety of mortgage resets continued to gradually shift the nation’s foreclosure epicenters in the third quarter away from the hot spots of the last two years and toward some metro areas that had avoided the brunt of the first foreclosure wave,” said James J. Saccacio, chief executive officer of RealtyTrac. “While toxic subprime mortgages drove much of that first wave of foreclosures, high unemployment and exotic Alt-A Option ARMs are spreading the foreclosure flood to more metro areas in 2009.”
The RealtyTrac report came on the heels of the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index report issued Tuesday. A comparison of home prices and foreclosure activity in the 20 areas covered in the Case-Shiller report indicates that while there is no consistent, direct correlation between change in home prices and change in foreclosure activity, in general the metro areas with the biggest year-over-year decreases in home prices also had the biggest year-over-year increases in foreclosure activity -- although there were exceptions.
