A place where you can find out the latest real estate trends, comment and ask questions based on your experiences with the foreclosures market. In addition, we want this blog to develop into a community where you can connect and share ideas with others interested in the foreclosures market.

Community

Email Notifications

Archives

June 2007 - Posts

Fighting Foreclosure: Seven Ways to Dodge Delinquency

The sharp rise in foreclosure activity in recent months does not paint a pretty picture for distressed borrowers: 437,000 foreclosure filings were reported in the first quarter of this year, according to RealtyTrac.

If you are falling behind on your mortgage payments — or if you’re already delinquent — it’s important to know what your options are and what to expect ahead.

Here are seven options to help you avoid foreclosure:

Renegotiate with the Lender
Step one is to contact your lender as soon as you know you can't make a payment. The faster you move the more options you’ll have to fix your financial future. Borrowers have the option of renegotiating their loan with the lender. Negotiate a plan that will enable the loan to be back in service. Lenders don’t want the property back, they want to keep their loan portfolio full of performing loans — not defaulting loans. Lenders say that the sooner they hear from a delinquent borrower in trouble, the easier it is to negotiate a solution.

Reinstatement
Prior to a foreclosure sale, borrowers have the right to reinstate a delinquent loan. The reinstatement option gives homeowners the opportunity to make up back payments plus any incidental charges incurred by the bank such as filing fees, trustee fees and legal expenses. Paying off the reinstatement amount will cancel the foreclosure and enable the homeowner to continue to live in the home as if no default occurred. For many delinquent borrowers, however, reinstatement is not an option because they are deep in debt and cannot make up back payments, plus other expenses. Consult with a real estate attorney or an experienced real estate broker because reinstatement laws vary from state to state.

Forbearance
One of the most overlooked foreclosure options a borrower has is forbearance. Forbearance is the postponement for a limited time of a portion or all of the payments on a loan in jeopardy of foreclosure. Partial or full payment waivers had their origins in the Great Depression. A lender expects that during the moratorium period the borrower can solve the problems by securing a new job, selling the property or finding some other acceptable solution.

Depending on your lender, you may be able to restructure your loan. For example, delinquent mortgage payments may be added to the loan balance or the borrower could be given more time to bring the late payment current. Some mortgage companies are able to arrange a repayment plan based on your current financial situation. You may qualify for this option if you recently lost your job, became ill and lost your source of income. Call your lender and inquire if you meet the requirements for forbearance.

Redemption
To redeem a loan, the borrower must pay off the loan in full. Borrowers may accomplish this by refinancing (with a family member cosigning perhaps) or by a friend or relative bailing out the borrower in exchange for equity or some other financial arrangement. Again, redemption rights — like reinstatement rights — vary from state to state. Most states permit redemption up to the foreclosure sale.

Sell the Property
For owners who don’t care to save the property, or who have no other choice than to let the property go, selling the property may be a smart choice. If you have enough equity in the house to allow you to pay off the mortgage in full, then a sale is usually your best option. This option preserves your equity and what’s left of your credit score. Selling also leaves you in a much better financial position should you want to buy another home in the future.

Deed in Lieu of Foreclosure
For homeowners who have no opportunity to reinstate, redeem or even sell their property and just want out of the property, a deed in lieu of foreclosure may be viable foreclosure option. Essentially, a deed in lieu of foreclosure is a transfer of title from a borrower to the lender, which the lender accepts in full satisfaction of the mortgage debt. With this option, a borrower voluntarily “gives back” their property to the mortgage company. You won’t save the house, but you do avoid the trauma of foreclosure and reduce the negative impact on your credit.

Bankruptcy
Filing bankruptcy is not a permanent cure of foreclosure, but it can temporarily halt the foreclosure process. Once a borrower in default files a petition for bankruptcy, foreclosure proceedings stop immediately. A homeowner, however, must hire an attorney in order to file bankruptcy, which can be expensive. Before considering this option, a homeowner should consult a real estate attorney.

On the other hand,  by doing nothing, homeowners will lose their home and any equity they have earned, plus damaging their credit at the same time. Moreover, some states allow lenders to go after borrowers in court for any deficit between what the house eventually sells for and what the homeowner owes. In any event, homeowners who decide to choose none of the options above are literally putting their heads in the sand and hoping they’ll win the lottery and avoid foreclosure.

At RealtyTrac, we want you know what your options are if you’re facing foreclosure.

Published Fri, June 29 2007 10:27 AM by Octavion
Forecasters Change Housing Estimates for '07/'08

The nation’s housing market is not cooperating the way analysts at the A. Gary Anderson Center for Economic Research at Chapman University in Orange, Calif., had hoped it would.

The drop in residential construction is steeper and over a longer time than many analysts had predicted. The national Gross Domestic Product has taken a hit of 1 percent over the past few quarters as a result. Likewise, housing starts are forecasted to drop from their recent high in 2006 at 1.8 million units to 1.3 million for 2008. And that’s not all!

“The worst of the downward national housing price spiral is not over,” said economist and Chapman President James Doti in a press release distributed Tuesday. “Our forecast calls for housing prices to decline around 5 percent before relatively strong job growth helps to bring about a recovery by late 2008.”

According to their latest figures, Doti noted that price appreciation on resale housing peaked during the third quarter of 2005 at 14.2 percent (nationally) and then plummeted to 1 percent by the third quarter of 2006.

With the housing market languishing on the downslide, Doti expects export sales — which are forecasted to increase by almost $100 billion in both 2007 and 2008 — to replace real estate as the major driver of economic growth in this country.

Still, Doti, along with his colleague Essie Adibi, director of the Anderson Center, are diligently standing by their 2007 forecast made last December that real GDP will pickup for the second quarter of 2007 (2.1 percent growth annualized) followed by a modest increase in 2008 up to 2.6 percent growth.

With the slowdown in Real GDP, the Chapman forecast calls for the Federal Reserve to respond by lowering the federal funds rate (a short-term interest rate) by a quarter point early in 2008.

In the meantime the Federal Reserve responded to the indicated slowdown by maintaining the Federal Funds Rate at 5.25 percent once more. As Chapman predicted, in its statement released Thursday the Federal Open Market Committee justified keeping the rate as is due to noticeable improvement in core inflation in recent months.

“Economic growth appears to have been moderate during the first half of this year, despite the ongoing adjustment in the housing sector,” the FOMC said. “The economy seems likely to continue to expand at a moderate pace over coming quarters.”

This statement by the Fed is in synch with the Chapman forecast for improvement in real GDP over the long term. And for investors and prospective home buyers shopping for foreclosure bargains on RealtyTrac it means the buyer's market should continue at least through the end of 2008.


 

Published Fri, June 29 2007 7:00 AM by joelc
Filed under:
Cagan: Big Scary Numbers, Little Impact

At first glance, the numbers that Dr. Christopher Cagan works with on a daily basis look scary – especially when he’s talking about billions and trillions of dollars.

Despite so many zeroes and commas in his numbers, however, Cagan assured industry professionals attending a recent meeting of the Real Estate Research Council of Southern California that those very long numbers will have little impact on the national economy, although they will pack quite a punch for the people most immediately affected by them – lenders, borrowers and investors.

“This will not break the economy or the lending industry,” Cagan said. “This is part of the business cycle, but it does not control the business cycle. We’re in the 17th year of the current 15-year business cycle.”

Based on his latest property surveys (conducted December 2006), the Director of Research and Analytics for First American CoreLogic concluded in his latest report titled, “Mortgage Payment Reset: The Issue and the Impact,” that marketplace remediation has already begun as borrowers and lenders negotiate refinances whenever possible.

Confirming what RealtyTrac has reported previously, Cagan noted that it is borrowers who went with either sub-prime loans, or loans with smaller teaser rates initially to finance their home purchase, who stand to bear the greatest burden as the onslaught of foreclosures continues for years to come.

Equity is the primary issue involved. Homeowners who bought during or before 2003 should have plenty of it — enough, at least, to be able to refinance out of a less than desirable loan situation. It’s the loans with teaser rates and sub-primes that pose the much higher risk of foreclosure, and Cagan’s numbers bear that out.

When all is said and done Cagan is estimating that of the 8.37 million adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs) originated between 2004 and 2006 (valued at approximately $2.2 trillion), only 1.1 million of them will result in foreclosure caused by resetting interest rates. Total value of those loans: $326 billion.

Cagan estimates total non-recoverable losses caused by reset-based foreclosures spread out over five to six years to be $112.5 billion (about $20-$22 billion per year). In a $12 trillion national economy where mortgage lending is responsible for roughly $2 trillion per year, that loss translates to about 1 percent of total lending — so not a very large impact overall.

Still, Cagan’s report has plenty of numbers that are welcome news to real estate investors, homebuyers and real estate professionals seeking bargain real estate to invest in. Based on two alternate scenarios on the future direction of the market, Cagan’s report estimates that if real estate prices continue to drop, then 70,000 more foreclosures will be created for every 1 percent of drop. Conversely, the second scenario says that should home prices rise, then 70,000 fewer foreclosures will be created for every 1 percent rise in prices.

Either way, Cagan’s numbers are another tool for members of RealtyTrac to have in hand when seeking real estate bargains around the country.

Published Wed, June 20 2007 9:00 AM by joelc
Foreclosures: the Coming California Crash?

California foreclosure investors now have an opportunity to tap the knowledge of a 25-year real estate investing veteran who correctly predicted the last two major swings in the California real estate market and is on the verge of correctly predicting another.

“Bruce Norris was dead right” about home prices in California doubling in the early 2000s after hitting bottom in 1997, said Michael Carney, Director of the Real Estate Research Council of Southern California. Carney went on to say that he thinks Norris’ latest prediction, made in early 2006, that foreclosures will soar and home prices will plummet in the next few years is also likely to be correct.  It’s what Norris, president of The Norris Group, calls the “California Crash.”

Now RealtyTrac and The Norris Group have teamed up to unveil a comprehensive real estate investor training series authored by Norris. Specific to the California real estate market, the co-branded training materials are jam packed with market research and highly practical instruction that will help any real estate investor succeed in California.

The course materials include workbooks, audio CDs and an online education portal. Included with each Norris Group course purchased through RealtyTrac is a free one year subscription to RealtyTrac’s online foreclosure database.

Here’s a brief course description of the California “only” series:

California “Only” Investor Essentials
This introductory course, written by Norris, is designed to give new and experienced investors absolute command of the essential elements of real estate investing. The course includes a full-color, 145-page manual and five audio CDs, plus forms, checklists, call scripts, formulas and more.

California “Only” Buying Systems
In the second course in the series Norris explains how to implement 24 different "buying systems" designed to find wholesale real estate deals in California no matter what part of the real estate cycle they are investing in . The course includes a 233-page manual and 10 audio CDs, plus forms, checklists, call scripts, formulas, contracts, advertisements and more.

California “Only” Negotiating
In the third course Norris teams up with sales guru and accomplished author Ben Gay III to discuss real estate negotiating and closing techniques. This unique course drives home the often overlooked subjects of scripting, sales fundamentals and self-discipline. The course includes a 133-page manual and 10 audio CDs, plus sales scripts, forms, checklists, formulas and more.

California “Only” Foreclosure
The final book of the series has Norris teaming up with foreclosure expert Ward Hanigan to cover the California foreclosure business from every angle. The course includes a full-color, 300-page manual and eight audio CDs, plus checklists, call scripts, mailer samples and more.

Investors can save more than 40 percent off the purchase price of the entire “California Only” training courses by purchasing it through RealtyTrac. In all, the entire series consists of four full-color manuals (over 800 pages of training materials) and 33 audio CDs offering over 30 hours of personal training.

California Crash
This unique course is the most comprehensive report ever written on California real estate market trends. The course includes a full-color, 407-page manual and nine audio CDs.

For more information about the co-branded training products, visit www.realtytrac.com/TNG

Published Tue, June 19 2007 4:40 PM by Octavion
Foreclosure Filings Soar 90 Percent

A growing number of American homeowners across the country are getting foreclosure notices, according to new data released this week by RealtyTrac.

U.S. foreclosure filings surged 90 percent in May from a year earlier as more homeowners fell behind on their monthly mortgage payments, reported RealtyTrac. There were 176,137 foreclosure filings in May, up 19 percent from April.

James J. Saccacio, chief executive officer of RealtyTrac, said a jump in foreclosures at a time of year that traditionally is the busiest for home sales means the slide in prices probably isn't over.

“Such strong activity in the midst of the typical spring buying season could foreshadow even higher foreclosure levels later in the year,” said Saccacio. “Certainly not every community nationwide is seeing an increase in foreclosures, but foreclosed properties are becoming more commonplace and adding to the downward pressure on home prices in many areas.”

Meanwhile, the Mortgage Bankers Association, in its quarterly snapshot of the mortgage market released today, reported that the percentage of payments that were 30 or more days past due for one-to-four unit residential properties was 4.84 percent, down 11 basis points from the previous quarter, but up 43 basis points from the first quarter of 2006. The biggest increases were for delinquency rates on subprime loans, up 227 basis points from a year ago.

Late payments and new foreclosures on adjustable-rate home mortgages made to people with spotty credit histories spiked to all-time highs in the first three months of this year, the MBA said. Subprime loans entering foreclosure rose to a five-year high of 2.43 percent, up from 2 percent in the prior quarter, and prime loans rose to 0.25 percent, the highest ever, from 0.24 percent.

Top 10 Foreclosure Total
Ranked by the number of foreclosure filings, California topped the list, with 39,659 in May, and Florida was number two, with 21,704, according to RealtyTrac’s report. Ohio was number three for the third consecutive month, with 13,214 filings, followed by Texas with 9,653 foreclosure filings. Michigan took fifth place, reporting with 9,461 filings, while Georgia came in sixth with 8,294 filings. The Top 10 was rounded out by seventh place Illinois with 6,824 filings, Colorado with 6,321, Arizona with 5,918 and Nevada with 5,235 foreclosure filings.

MBA’s reported pinpointed California, Florida, Nevada, Arizona, Ohio, Michigan and Indiana as trouble spots for delinquencies and foreclosures. “Those states have special circumstances that do not reflect what is happening in the rest of the country,” said Doug Duncan, the association’s chief economist, in a statement.

Top 10 Foreclosure Rate
RealtyTrac’s report said six of the Top 10 metro areas with highest foreclosure rates were in California. Here are the metro areas with the highest rate of foreclosure filings:

1. Stockton, Calif. (1 in 88 households)
2. Merced, Calif. (1 in 100 households)
3. Modesto, Calif. (1 in 118 households)
4. Las Vegas, Nev. (1 in 127 households)
5. Riverside-San Bernardino, Calif. (1 in 145 households)
6. Vallejo-Fairfield, Calif. (1 in 147 households)
7. Sacramento, Calif. (1 in 178 households)
8. Denver, Colo. (1 in 188 households)
9. Detroit, Mich. (1 in 190 households)
10. Miami, Fla. (1 in 194 households)

View a complete list of foreclosure statistics by state.


Published Thu, June 14 2007 3:37 PM by Octavion
Buyers Come Out in Droves For LA Auction

Some were dressed for business. Others were dressed like they were out for a weekend at the mall. But in the end they were all there for the same purpose — a chance to purchase real estate in Southern California — Los Angeles, Orange and Ventura counties in particular — at a “bargain” price.

Thanks to aggressive advertising all over the region and ample coverage on local news programs, the Real Estate Disposition Corp. (REDC) drew an estimated 1,800 potential homebuyers and investors to the Los Angeles Convention Center recently in the sort of frenzied buying environment not seen since the boom days of foreclosures of the early 1990s.

In all, 92 properties were auctioned off in around five hours. The source of those properties — various lenders who just wanted to get those foreclosures off of their books.

“Some of these are new REOs. The banks are not putting them on the market with a Realtor first. They are sending them right to auction,” said Rob Friedman, chairman of REDC. “Sellers want to speed up the process.”

This is the first time since the 1990s that Friedman has felt the market is right to bring back his auction company. And the business is growing all the time, as REDC has scheduled auction dates in various parts of the country, not just California.

This auction was the second of three REDC held over two weekends. The first, in San Diego, drew an estimated 1,200 bidders. The day after the Los Angeles auction Friedman took his group to sell properties in Riverside and San Bernardino counties and drew a another crowd of more than 1,000.

For members of RealtyTrac looking for all potential sources to purchase properties at bargain prices, real estate auctions are a possibility. And RealtyTrac members also have the advantage of finding these properties earlier in the foreclosure process, when they have the opportunity to work out a deal without having to compete directly with hundreds of other bidders.

As was quite evident at the Los Angeles auction, deep discounts are not available across the board at REO auctions. Many buyers were glad to have the winning bid even if it meant saving only $10,000 to $50,000 on REDC’s “previously valued at” number. More seasoned investors were sitting on their hands, waiting for the right time and the right property to come along where the discount was steep enough to make the investment a worthy one.

A veteran of all types of auctions over the years — real estate, cars, furniture, etc. — Friedman stressed the importance of careful homework prior to an auction. That homework includes inspecting the property of interest, reading over all the legal documentation (provided on the REDC website ahead of time), and coming prepared with the price you’re comfortable with paying for that property. Don’t get emotionally attached to any one property, Friedman cautioned. Sometimes you have to attend a number of auctions to find that one good deal.

Published Tue, June 05 2007 10:15 AM by joelc
Foreclosures: Chicken or Egg?
It’s a classic chicken-and-egg question: are foreclosures a cause or a symptom of the slumping housing market?

One Southern California economist believes they’re clearly a symptom.

“I think there were troubles to start with; that’s what caused the defaults and foreclosures,” said Dr. Michael Carney, Professor of Finance and Real Estate at Cal Poly University in Pomona, Calif., and Director of the Real Estate Research Council of Southern California.

Carney was speaking at the research council’s most recent quarterly luncheon, where foreclosures were the topic of the day. Carney pinpointed the root cause of Southern California’s cooling housing market as a somewhat cryptic slowing of demand for housing in 2006. That slowing of demand had a domino effect, causing home sales to slow and home price appreciation to flatten and even go negative in the first quarter of 2007, according to Carney’s research.

The slowing sales and stagnant home prices have in turn contributed to a sharp rise in defaults and foreclosures. And rising defaults and foreclosures is not typically a one-quarter or even one-year phenomenon in Southern California, noted Carney. His 2007 outlook included foreclosures and defaults as something to watch carefully. Quipping that most economists are lucky to be right once in their lifetime, he acknowledged that investor educator Bruce Norris, who rightly predicted that home prices would double a few years ago, “may be right again” about his prediction of foreclosure rates skyrocketing in the near future.

Of course, foreclosures are caused by a more complex set of factors than just a decrease in demand for housing. That fact was reaffirmed during the luncheon's feature presentation, in which Chris Cagan, Director of Research and Analytics at First American CoreLogic, identified generous lending practices as major culprit behind the recent spate of foreclosures.

"My 11-year-old kid could probably qualify for a loan with his income, his 'stated' income," Cagan joked.

Published Mon, June 04 2007 11:48 AM by darenb