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February 2007 - Posts

Governor Suspends Controversial Law Affecting Investors

It was controversial when it took effect, and it remained controversial until public officials decided enough was enough – roughly a little more than a year later. But House Bill 4050 (renamed Public Act 94-280) is now null and void, which should be a relief to real estate investors and prospective homebuyers looking for bargain property in south Chicago.

Responding to the public outcry of legislative redlining, equal protection violations, and racial discrimination against minority residents living in certain Chicagoland areas, Illinois Gov. Rod Blagojevich suspended the law on January 19, 2007.

A statement released by Dean Martinez, Secretary, Department of Financial and Professional Regulation, explained the decision to suspend the law by stating, “the Secretary received and reviewed information that suggests that the prior designation may be detrimental to the Pilot Program’s purpose, namely, to curb predatory lending practices in areas with high rates of foreclosure on residential home mortgages.”

For legitimate investors looking to help homeowners in distress, the law’s suspension is welcome news. Although its intent was to reduce foreclosures in certain blighted areas in Chicago, the law stirred up a public outcry from the get-go due to the pilot program zeroing in on 10 zip codes chosen for their high foreclosure rates,  but heavily populated by minority communities — especially African Americans and Hispanics.

The law required prospective homeowners to undergo financial counseling before obtaining a mortgage, as well as supplying personal information to their lender that would be entered into a state government database. Plus, the law applied only to state-chartered lenders not federally-chartered lenders.

With HB 4050 effectively dead, homeowners — some of whom have taken out second and even third mortgages on their properties — need help to get out of a potentially disastrous financial situation. As we move forward in 2007, with the local market in the doldrums, this would be one of those areas around the nation that it would be worthwhile for investors to keep up to date on.

Published Mon, February 26 2007 8:00 AM by joelc
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Stumbling Subprimes Spell Opportunity
The subprime mortgage industry is stumbling under a heavy burden of defaults, watching profits dwindle as lenders are forced to buy back loans that have turned sour. This bottom-line reality is forcing many lenders to tighten their lending requirements. Wells Fargo, the biggest originator of subprime loans, according to National Mortgage News, announced this week that they would be cutting 320 jobs in their subprime mortgage division because of tighter lending standards.

The tightened lending standards, coupled with stagnant home price appreciation, leaves many homeowners in default unable to refinance their way out of foreclosure. It’s a downward spiral that threatens to suck down the entire housing market.

But there are people who can help. People who can relieve lenders of their defaulted loans and help distressed homeowners find a way out of foreclosure. Those people are of course real estate investors or homebuyers who have been looking for an opportune time to enter the market. And there’s something in it for the investors and buyers also. They buy low with the knowledge they can rent in the short term and sell high when the market recovers.

Many investors and buyers are eyeing the market, not sure if now is the right time to enter. After all, it could get worse. But timing the market like this can be dangerous. And it's good to remember that there is always a delay in reporting market conditions. The subprime meltdown being reported now is mostly due to defaults that occurred in the first two-thirds of 2006. Even if they don’t plan to buy immediately, investors and buyers who are serious about finding good deals should start looking now so they're prepared to act quickly.

Published Thu, February 22 2007 12:04 PM by darenb
Housing glut gives foreclosure buyers and investors advantage

Storm clouds are gathering over the nation’s battered housing market. Depending on whom you ask, the forecast calls for either thunderstorms or gale force hurricane winds. Fueling the latest concerns is a deluge of discouraging data in the housing sector.

Home prices and sales plunge
Sales of existing single-family homes declined in 40 states and in half of the nation’s biggest metropolitan areas in the last three months of 2006, according to the National Association of Realtors. The biggest declines were in Florida-Sarasota-Bradenton (down 18 percent), Palm Bay-Melbourne (17 percent) and Cape Coral-Fort Myers (12 percent).

At the same time, Nevada sales plunged 36 percent, while Florida posted a decline of 31 percent. Sales fell by more than 20 percent in Arizona, Virginia, California, Maryland and the District of Columbia.

2.1 million vacant homes await buyers
In addition to weaker sales and declining prices, a record number of homes are sitting vacant awaiting buyers. An estimated 2.1 million empty houses were listed for sale during October, November and December, according to the Census Bureau. That suggests that prices may have to fall further for sales to pick up and the overall housing market to recover.

Housing starts tumble sharply
New residential construction fell sharply in January, plunging 14.3 percent to the lowest level in nearly a decade as the housing industry continued to struggle with a severe slowdown. The decline in the construction of new homes and apartments pushed activity to the slowest pace since 1997, according to the Commerce Department.

Regionally, housing construction tumbled 29 percent in the West, 15 percent in the Midwest and 12 percent in the South. Construction starts were up only in the Northeast, which saw a gain of 9 percent. For real estate investors and home buyers, weakness in January construction means that builders will slash prices and offer incentives to motivate buyers into writing offers.

Foreclosures surge upward
The biggest news in residential real estate, however, seems to be foreclosures. The 130,511 new foreclosure filings last month were up 25 percent from 2006, according to RealtyTrac. The time has never been better for aspiring real estate investors, home buyers and real estate agents to successfully purchase foreclosure properties.

Today, the real estate industry is saturated with overpriced, over-financed properties. Add sagging sales, plunging prices, a glut of vacant homes awaiting fickle buyers and havoc in the housing sector begins.

But in chaos there is opportunity — and the real estate industry is no exception. In current conditions, people with the skill, capital and vision can make great profits. For RealtyTrac members, the existence of these opportunities is no secret. They know that a growing number of bargain foreclosures are now available.

Published Thu, February 22 2007 11:05 AM by Octavion
Short sales rising

Scanning the Southern California Multiple Listing Service (MLS) last week, the one thing that stands out is the growing number of short sales. Last year, you rarely saw the phrase “short sale” in the MLS property description. Today, approximately 10 percent of the listed properties are short sales.

That indicates lenders are getting more eager to unload properties in foreclosure, even if it means selling them for less than is owed on the mortgage.

Short sales occur when home prices fall and mortgage debt exceeds the value of the property. A short sale refers to a situation where a homeowner lacks sufficient equity to close a transaction and asks the lender to accept less than the full mortgage balance for a loan payoff. If the lender agrees, homeowners can sell their depreciated home and settle their debt for a reduced sum. If a short sale doesn’t work, it eventually becomes a bank-owned foreclosure.

Nobody keeps statistics on how many short sales close each month, but based on anecdotal evidence they are increasing at an alarming rate. While short sales remain a small segment of the residential real estate market, the increase bears watching for investors, buyers and real estate agents.

Short sales are a sign that rising foreclosures are beginning to put a strain on the market. Nationwide, a total of 130,511 new foreclosure filings were reported in January, a 19 percent increase from the previous month and a 25 percent increase from January 2006, according to ReaaltyTrac’s U.S. Foreclosure Market Report. January’s total was the highest since RealtyTrac began issuing its report in January 2005. That translates to one new foreclosure filing for every 886 U.S. households.

Rather than getting stuck with non-performing mortgages, lenders are making deals with investors to substantially discount these loans below the amount of the loan itself. For investors and home buyers, purchasing properties at this discounted price can be a great money making opportunity.

With millions of subprime loans readjusting to a higher rate this year, there will be an increasing number of people who cannot afford to make higher loan payments. If the number of foreclosures continues to climb, there will be a steady stream of short sale business during a market downturn. Learning how to negotiate short sales can be a lucrative source of business.

To learn more about short sales, visit our Foreclosure Bookstore.

Published Tue, February 20 2007 8:52 AM by Octavion
Coastal Disasters = More Foreclosures?

For anyone who has lived through a natural disaster, the recent tornadoes in Central Florida and the horrific aftermath left behind — approximately 1,500 structures destroyed and 20 people killed — brings back memories of more than just the great need for disaster relief from the federal government (FEMA). It also brings back bad memories of dealing with insurance companies and very slow claims service.

It doesn’t matter if you’re living in Florida or California — coastal property is expensive and so are the insurance premiums that go with them. Back in 1994 something called “The Northridge Earthquake” (misnamed as it was) shook Los Angeles at 4:31 a.m. at a reading of over 7 on the Richter scale. Many insurance companies that WERE writing homeowner’s insurance policies pulled out of California altogether after that one.

Then a few years ago the wildfires in San Diego had the same effect — skittish insurance companies turning and running after paying off on what were expensive policy claims.

According to one recent report, insurance companies are getting skittish again — this time in Central Florida and other parts of the eastern seaboard. This does not bode well for worried homeowners who are sitting on the cusp of foreclosure. Florida had 124,721 foreclosures last year — a 2 percent increase from 2005, and a foreclosure rate of one new filing for every 59 households. The state led the country in foreclosures one month last year, and was in the top three states for total foreclosures every month of 2006, according to RealtyTrac’s U.S. Foreclosure Market Report.

Add to that the fact that many of those homeowners who bought during the past two years financed their home purchase with one of those high-risk adjustable rate mortgages that is due to reset in 2007 or 2008 — and there is something for them to worry about.

In 2002 the Florida Legislature created Citizens Property Insurance Corp. to write policies in what are considered high-risk areas of the state where homeowners couldn’t find coverage on the open market from private insurance companies. Yet some of the victims from last week’s tornadoes were uninsured nonetheless — either because premiums from the private insurance companies were too high and unaffordable, or because their insurance company cancelled the policy outright. Citizens is expecting up to 500 claims to be filed due to last week’s storms, paying out an estimated $5 million to $6 million.

What does this have to do with foreclosures? Everything!

There is an underlying problem here. Most lenders will not fund a loan for a house that is uninsured. So even if distressed homeowners wanted to refinance their way out of foreclosure they couldn’t if they don’t carry insurance on the home. If they wanted to sell the property outright, it’s going to be a problem as well because no one wants to buy a house that can’t be insured. What’s more, lenders consider failure to have homeowner’s insurance securing their loan as a default on the mortgage.

The end result of all this may turn out to be a greater number of foreclosures in the Sunshine State this year, but it is way too early to tell at this point. We’ll just have to sit tight and wait and see.

Published Mon, February 19 2007 4:45 PM by joelc
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Foreclosures Begin 2007 at Two-Year High
New foreclosure activity in January hit its highest level since RealtyTrac began issuing a national foreclosure report two years ago, with 130,511 new foreclosure filings reported during the month. That was up 19 percent from the previous month and up 25 percent from January 2006.

After dominating the headlines with the highest state foreclosure rate for much of 2006, Colorado’s foreclosure rate dropped to fourth highest among the states thanks to a slight decrease in foreclosure activity in January. Nevada took the top spot with one new foreclosure filing for every 362 households. Michigan and Georgia ranked second and third among the states in terms of foreclosure rate.

Substantial increases in foreclosure activity in Detroit and Atlanta helped drive up the foreclosure rates in Michigan and Georgia. Detroit’s foreclosure total more than doubled from the previous month, giving it the nation’s highest metropolitan foreclosure rate — one new foreclosure filing for every 124 households. Atlanta foreclosures increased 25 percent from the previous month and the city’s foreclosure rate of one new foreclosure filing for every 214 households ranked third highest among the nation’s metro foreclosure rates.

Texas, California and Florida continued to report the top three monthly foreclosure totals among all the states.

View the full report.

Published Mon, February 12 2007 1:48 PM by darenb
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Lenders help their customers curb foreclosures

As borrowers falling behind on their mortgage payments increase in number, they are getting help form an unlikely source — the mortgage industry.

Banks are increasingly testing new strategies to help curb mortgage delinquencies.

To prevent potential problems, National City Corp. — headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio — is working with churches, social workers and the United Way to help troubled borrowers avoid foreclosure. Bank of America Corp. is allowing some borrowers with adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs) to refinance into a different loan at no cost, and CitiMortgage is contacting delinquent borrowers within days after a missed payment.

But one Midwestern lender has a novel idea.

NovaStar Financial Inc., a Kansas City-based subprime mortgage lender, helps its customers find jobs. NovaStar’s Launch-Point program has helped more than 1,036 NovaStar borrowers find work without charging them a penny, according to the Columbus Dispatch. Launch-Point helps job-hunting mortgage customers prepare resumes, practice for job interviews, find job openings and evaluate how the real job interviews went.

In all, NovaStar has spent $3 million helping customers find jobs. The $3 million investment has prevented $15 million in likely foreclosure losses. Each foreclosure costs about a third of the value of the loan.

NovaStar also is working on a test program with Option One Mortgage, owned by H&R Block Inc., to see whether Launch-Point could offer its services to other mortgage companies for a fee.

Please feel free to comment on this article, or write an e-mail to us at: editor@foreclosurepulse.com.

Published Tue, February 06 2007 12:05 PM by Octavion
California Tops PMI’s Risk Index

Seven out of the 10 riskiest housing markets in the nation for home price deflation over the next two years are located in California, according to the Winter 2007 PMI U.S. Market Risk Index just released by the PMI Mortgage Insurance Co.

Studying the 50 largest Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) in the nation, scores increased for 34 out of the nation’s top 50 over a year earlier, with an average score of 342. Based on a 1000 point scale, that score translates into a 34.2 percent chance of lower home prices nationwide over the next two years. Of the top 50 metros, 19 face a more than 50 percent chance of declining home prices through the end of 2008.

The Sacramento-Arden-Arcade-Roseville, CA, metro area topped the list with a score of 604 (a 60.4 percent risk factor that home prices will decline). The San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos, CA, and Oakland-Fremont-Hayward, CA, metro areas tied for second place with a score of 603. The third highest risk factor was found in the Santa Ana-Anaheim-Irvine, CA, metro area with a score of 602.

Rounding out the top 10 with their scores were: Nassau-Suffolk, NY (601); Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA (600); Los Angeles-Long Beach-Glendale, CA (597); Boston-Quincy, MA (595); Providence-New Bedford-Fall River, RI-MA (595); and San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA (592). The San Francisco-San Mateo-Redwood City, CA, metro area came in 11th place with a score of 588.

However, economic fundamentals are strong in most of the 50 MSAs studied — particularly due to historically low unemployment rates and strong job growth — leading PMI to conclude that the severity of the price declines in most metros will be somewhat mitigated.

Of the top 50, all but four metro areas — Detroit and Warren, MI; Cleveland, OH; and Indianapolis, IN — saw employment growth. Given that fact, it is no surprise that two out of those four metros also documented some of the highest foreclosure rates in the country for all of 2006.

According to RealtyTrac’s year-end report for 2006, Detroit led the nation’s 100 largest metro areas in foreclosure rate, reporting that 4.9 percent of all households went into foreclosure. That translates into one new foreclosure filing for every 21 households — or 4.5 times the national average. Total foreclosures in the Detroit metroplex numbered more than 10,000 filings in each quarter of 2006.

Despite declining foreclosure numbers in each and every quarter throughout 2006, the Indianapolis metro area still registered the third highest foreclosure rate in the nation for all of last year. Reporting total foreclosure filings representing 4.3 percent of all households — one new filing for every 23 households — the metro’s foreclosure rate was almost four times the national average.

While employment was down in those areas, the New Orleans metro led the nation with 8.37 percent employment growth for last year. The Las Vegas, NV, metroplex came in second with 5.38 percent employment growth for 2006.

Members of RealtyTrac looking to invest in foreclosure properties around the country would be wise to keep track of activity in PMI’s top 50 metro areas. If the results of this latest risk index prove true to form, there most likely will be more foreclosures coming down the pipeline as distressed homeowners in those areas find themselves in a situation where they can’t sell their way out.

Published Tue, February 06 2007 9:05 AM by joelc
Negative Savings Rate Portends More Defaults
A Commerce Department report released last week confirmed that Americans are continuing to spend more than they make, setting the stage for more increases in foreclosure activity in 2007.

The Personal Income and Outlays report pegged the country's personal savings rate at negative 1 percent in 2006, lower than the negative 0.4 percent in 2005. Not since the Great Depression has the personal savings rate registered in negative territory for two consecutive years, according to an Associated Press article on the report.

While this negative savings rate may be helping to sustain the country’s growing economy in the short term by infusing the economy with cash, it could also be draining the rainy day funds of many homeowners, leaving them more susceptible to foreclosure.

The good news is that the negative savings rate of the last two years appears to be a byproduct of voracious consumer spending not rampant unemployment like that which occurred during the Great Depression. That means homeowners who spend more than they make have some options to lower their risk of foreclosure. They can spend less in other areas of their budget, increase their income with a new job or another job, refinance at a lower rate, or refinance at a fixed rate if they have an adjustable rate mortgage scheduled to reset in the near future.

More tips on preventing foreclosure.

Published Mon, February 05 2007 1:02 PM by darenb
Fed Stands Fast on Rate; Little Solace for Homeowners

It wasn’t long after Ben Bernanke took over the reins of the Federal Reserve from Alan Greenspan that he put a halt to the 17 consecutive upward adjustments in the federal funds rate (FFR) — the short-term interest rate banks charge each other — back in August 2006.

On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided to keep its hands-off stance, leaving the FFR at 5.25 percent. Needless to say, many real estate industry analysts are hoping the Fed continues to maintain this wait-and-see attitude towards the national economy for the remainder of 2007, giving the industry a chance to fully recover its lost luster after five years of prosperity.

In a statement released Wednesday, the FOMC seemed pleased with the overall progress of the economy in a positive direction, especially the housing sector. “Recent indicators have suggested somewhat firmer economic growth, and some tentative signs of stabilization have appeared in the housing market,” the Committee said.

Although this bodes well for consumer loans, home equity lines of credit, and credit cards, it does little to alleviate the long-term effects starting to be felt by homeowners who signed on to very risky adjustable-rate subprime mortgages during 2005 and 2006.

The interest rates on more than $1 trillion in these “exotic” mortgages are due to reset to higher rates in both 2007 and 2008. Perhaps the rate increase won’t be as much as it might have been otherwise due to the Fed’s latest position on the economy. However, there is no guarantee either. And when the rates are adjusted, many distressed homeowners will feel the effects of increased mortgage payments right away, resulting in the spigot to the foreclosure pipeline being opened at least a little more.

Total foreclosures increased nationwide by 42 percent from 2005 to 2006, according to the latest figures released by RealtyTrac. How much higher can they go is anybody’s guess at this point. Foreclosures are a lagging indicator of local economic activity, after all. So for information on the future direction of foreclosures around the nation, keep logging on to www.RealtyTrac.com.

 

Published Fri, February 02 2007 8:45 AM by joelc
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